ROYAL ASCOT 10 YEAR TRENDS
The following notes may help readers to draw up short lists for the races in this year's ‘Royal’ meeting. After each race name/detail a figure in brackets represents the favourites win percentage record in the race. The draw trends do not take account of the 2005 results when the meeting was held at York and it is too early to say whether the re-alignments of the track since the course was re-developed will make any material difference. The race order is as run in 2006.
COVENTRY STAKES (30%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 4 wins, Only 1 winner did not also win LTO. All had last raced 20 days+ previously. Since 1998 only one winner with odds above 8/1.
KINGS STAND STKS (00%): Now re-styled as the British leg of the Global Sprint Challenge and fittingly five overseas winners seen in recent years with French/Australian raiders worthy of particular note with three and two wins respectively. All winners were 6th or better LTO.
ST JAMES PALACE STKS (50%): AP O'Brien is leading trainer with 3 wins with overall 5/10 winners trained in Ireland/France. A last run in the Irish 2000Gns (usually run 24 days before) was noted in 6/7 latest winners. Longest SP seen was 8/1.
QUEEN ANNE STAKES (10%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 3 wins and M Stoute has 3 wins although don’t ignore leading overseas trainers A Fabre and AP O’Brien who between them have taken the last two races. 4yo preferred age group with 9/10 wins. Only one winner had odds of more than 10-1.
2M 4F H/CAP (10%): A Martin (Ire) is leading trainer with 2 wins and also trained last years runner up. Irish raiders have taken this event three times in total. Over the years the Pipe yard has also turned out several winners of this event – can David continue the trend? Only three winners (last three races) finished worse than 4th LTO. Horses carrying 9st 2lb+ have won 7/10 races.
WINDSOR CASTLE STKS (20%): A finished 1st/2nd in either of last two starts and last ran 9-35 days earlier. M Channon is leading trainer with 2 wins in the race although often won by the slightly ‘less fashionable’ but upcoming yards .
JERSEY STAKES (20%): Three winners were 20-1 or longer thus don’t dismiss outsiders in this race. Nine of last ten winners last raced within 25 days with a last run in Newmarket’s King Charles Stks seen in three recent winners. All has either a 1st/2nd place on last two outings. J Noseda/M Stoute are leading trainers on 2 wins.
WINDSOR FOREST STAKES (33%): New race in 2004 with 2/3 winners since trained by M Stoute. A 5th place or better seen on all three past winners.
PRINCE OF WALES STAKES (20%): S Bin Suroor is leading trainer with 4 wins albeit last one in 2002. 4yo are the preferred age group with 6/10 wins with all other winners aged 5yrs. All winners placed 4th or better LTO and whilst all winners between 1997-2002 won their last race the last four winners were only 2nd/3rd/4th.
ROYAL HUNT CUP (0%): Only three winners finished worse than 3rd LTO – including the last two - whilst four of last six winners won their last race. All winners aged between 4-6yo with 5yo faring best with 6/10 wins and only one 6yo winner. Historically a high draw was preferred but with the first seven home last year drawn in stalls 11 or lower this trend may have been reversed since the track was altered.
QUEEN MARY STKS (40%): M Channon is leading trainer with 3 wins. Only 1 winner had not won its previous race with last seven winners all being unbeaten. A last run at York 33 days earlier was seen in 3 of last 6 winners.
SANDRINGHAM H/CAP (18%): Ed Dunlop is leading trainer with 2 wins. All winners finished 6th or better LTO. No winner had odds of more than 12/1. Of the last seven winners six had raced either 3 or 4 times before in current season.
NORFOLK STAKES (2O %): All past winners also won LTO. Last run usually within 13-31 days. Generally well backed at 10-1 or shorter.
RIBBLESDALE STAKES (10%): S Bin Suroor is leading English yard with 3 wins although French/Irish raiders have also taken 3 events in total. A 1st/2nd/3rd place LTO was seen in 80% of the winners. Five winners last raced in the Oaks at Epsom – many of which didn’t handle the undulating track so form reversals quite common.
GOLD CUP (20%): S Bin Suroor (4 wins) is the leading trainer. A last run within 17-35 days seems preferred notwithstanding Yeats was making a seasonal bow last year. All winners aged between 4&6yo. Four dual winners seen since 1988 if you fancy Yeats follwing up this year.
BRITANNIA H/CAP (25%): J Gosden is leading trainer with 3 wins although most recent was in 2001. Nine winners finished 3rd or better LTO – the other finished 4th LTO. Highest weight carried was 9st 3lbs. As with the Hunt Cup low drawn horses fared better last year with five of first seven home drawn in stall 10 or lower.
HAMPTON COURT (LISTED) STKS (14%): Only 7 runnings of this event. No significant trends yet although most last raced 11-34 days earlier. AP O’Brien is the leading trainer with 2 wins.
BUCKINGHAM PALACE H/CAP (0%): Only 5 runnings of this event. All had last raced 13-23 days earlier. No other significant trends at this time.
ALBANY STAKES (25%): Only 4 runnings of this event with all won by fillies who had won/been placed 4th or better on their only start between 18-32 days earlier. Range of SP’s seen between 4-1 & 10-1 so no real shocks in this event yet. J Noseda has now trained the last two winners.
KING EDWARD VII STKS (80%): Relatively small fields provide excellent favourites record. H Cecil/M Stoute are leading trainers with 2 wins. All last ran within 12-37 days. 9 of last 10 winners also won their 1st race of current season.
CORONATION STAKES (35%): Leading UK trainers are G Wragg & M Stoute with 2 wins each. Winners generally 6/1 or shorter albeit two Geoff Wragg outsiders have won this event. Only three horses have won after being unplaced in last start. All last ran 19-47 days earlier
1M 2F WOLFERTON H/CAP (15%): 9/10 winners were placed 5th or better LTO. 4yo have best record with 7/10 wins.
QUEENS VASE (22%): M Johnston has now trained 3 of last 4 winners whilst M Stoute & S Bin Suroor are next best with two wins each. All finished 4th or better LTO. Winners SP generally 9/1 or shorter.
KING GEORGE V H/CAP (10%): M Johnston/M Stoute are the leading trainers with 3 wins each. No winner finished worse than 3rd LTO. All last raced within 12-56 days. 8/10 winners carried 9st or less.
CHESHAM STKS (30%): M Johnston is leading trainer with 3 wins. Apart from 2 winners who finished 2nd/3rd on only start the rest of the winners finished 1st LTO within 10-35 days.
HARDWICKE STKS (10%): M Johnston is leading trainer with 4 wins. Preferred age group is 4&5yo with 8 wins in total. Most last raced within 14-44 days.
GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES (10%): Upgraded to Gp1 in 2002. 4yo have best record with 5 wins. All last raced within 39 days although a recent trend seen where 3 of last 4 winners raced 4 days before in the Kings Stand stakes . Long distance travellers from overseas have won 2 of last 4 races being trained in Honk Kong/Australia respectively.
WOKINGHAM H/CAP (30%): Only four winners started at odds below 11-1 and three of them since 2004. All winners had finished 6th or better LTO. 4&5yo between them have won 7/10 races.
DUKE OF EDINBURGH H/CAP (10%): M Stoute is the leading trainer with 3 wins. 4yo is preferred age group with 7/10 wins with all aged between 4&6yo. Winners LTO have also taken 5/10 races with a 6th place or better in last race generally seen..
QUEEN ALEXANDA STAKES (30%): M Stoute is leading trainer with two wins (both by Cover Up) Only 2 winners finished better than 3rd LTO with 2005 winner being previously unraced. All winners aged 4-6 years old. | 
